Are we friends?
One year ago, you got me.I am highly confident Israel would absolutely hit Tehran, or at least other parts of Iran, if Iran actually got openly involved in the fighting.Not like Israel will hit Teheran in response.
I think the most likely outcome is
- Israel marches in, wins the battle, and arrests all undesirables
- many palestinians leave and aren't allowed back
- HAMAS has to elect new leaders, maybe some clan wars
- in a few years, return to "normalcy" and frozen conflict
Maybe some other political organization replaces HAMAS, but they would still be HAMAS. They will still be revanchist, anti-Israel, and have a military arm. That's just what the political space is like.
What other kind of party do you expect to come into existence in a big concentration camp?
These therefore who hears these words of mine, and does them, I will liken him to a wise man, who built his house on a rock. The rain came down, the floods came... and it didn't fall, for it was founded on the rock.
These who hears these words of mine, and doesn't do them will be like a foolish man, who built his house on the sand, the floods came... and it fell—and great was its fall.